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Cross-Border Threat Screening and Supply Chain Defense

Cross-Border Threat Screening and Supply Chain Defense

A Department of Homeland Security Center of Excellence

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Bayesian Risk Modeling

Technical Illustration from Bayesian Risk modeling project

Issue

Mexico became the top U.S. trade partner in 2020 according to U.S. Census. While Canada remained as No. 2 U.S. trade partner for the fifth consecutive year, followed by China in the third position.  These shifts and the framework outlined in the ‘United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA), make the region one most important trade and supply chain regions in the world. The COVID-19 epidemic and Russia’s attempted invasion of Ukraine highlight the many different threats facing North American and global supply chains, yet those are just a few of the many social, economic, and logistical risks that could be assessed.

Objectives

  1. To conduct the integration of case studies for specific supply chain applications of strategic value for DHS and CBTS across North America (Mexico-U.S.-Canada), addressing a combination of varying complexity (e.g. low, moderate and high) and varying evidence availability (e.g. low, moderate and high), to produce a collection of case studies (three states of supply chain complexity times three states of evidence availability
  2. To examine best practices for the simulation of risk scenarios of U.S. supply chains across North America

Value Proposition

This project offered DHS and the homeland security enterprise a thorough and sophisticated risk analysis methodology that can be used to better model the complex supply chain vulnerabilities and risks of importance to U.S. domestic national security. With guidance from this project, risk analysts, whether in government or private industry, could populate and model a supply chain with associated, variable risk applied at all supply network nodes to better inform decision makers and policy.

Project Lead Texas A&M University – College of Engineering
Research TeamPI: Zenon Medina-Cetina, Ph.D., Texas A&M University (TAMU), College of Engineering, College of Geosciences
Co-PI: Dennis Gorman, Ph.D., TAMU, School of Public Health
Co-PI: Julie Loisel, Ph.D., TAMU, College of Engineering College of Geosciences
Budget$1,196,969
DurationAug. 2022 – Aug. 2024

Categories: Completed Research ProjectsTags: economics, research, supply chains

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Cross-Border Threat Screening and Supply Chain Defense

600 John Kimbrough Blvd.
518D Agriculture and Life Sciences Bldg.
College Station, TX 77843-2142

(979) 314- 2032

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