Issue
The disruption of trade and supply chains from a transboundary animal disease spread through U.S. land, air, and seaports. African swine fever (ASFv) can significantly impact the Nation’s pork supply chain infrastructure and economy. Pork is a major source of protein in the human diet, with a share of 35-40% of global meat production, currently representing an annual consumption of greater than 110,000 metric tons. ASFv is a disease known for its economic impact on producers, smallholders, and emerging commercial farmers in both lower- and middle-income countries (LMICs). For developed nations such as the U.S., an incursion of ASF could have catastrophic economic impacts on our trade supply and supply chains.
Objectives
This project is directly linked to the DHS requirements for food and agricultural events that are a catastrophic event of national concern. To measure economic impacts on the U.S. pork production supply chain. (1) To estimate the economic welfare impacts on the U.S. pork supply chain. (2) To estimate the direct, indirect, and induced effects of the U.S. swine industry, allied industries, and non-agricultural industries. (3) To determine the duration for which economic indicator impacts can be categorized at the regional, national, and international levels.
Value Proposition:
Research findings provided an economic equilibrium modeling framework of ASFv impacts on U.S. pork supply chain, which can be used on other shocks to the swine industries. This project provides measurement of the economic impacts of ASFv on U.S. supply chains in the Food and Agriculture sector. This research provides insights for government agencies, and researchers that inform decision makers to make more informed decisions about possible mitigation and eradication strategies for ASF.
| Project Lead | Kansas State University Department of Diagnostic Medicine/Pathobiology and Department of Animal Sciences and Industry |
| Research Team | Co-PI: Heather Simmons, DVM, Texas A&M AgriLife Research – IIAD Co-PI: Jonathan Rushton, Ph.D., University of Liverpool Co-PI: Dustin Pendell, Ph.D., Kansas State University Co-PI: Jimmy Tickel, DVM, Texas A&M AgriLife Research – IIAD Co-PI: Amanda Countryman, Ph.D., Colorado State University |
| Budget | $574,107 |
| Duration | Nov. 2022 – Nov.2024 |